Explore daily Treasury yield changes on all 56 FOMC statement dates from 2020 through 4 October 2026. Inspect the pattern, then open the evidence behind any date.
Frozen historical snapshot · current copies retrieved 6–7 October 2026. Daily association, not an intraday reaction or a forecast.
Daily changes across 55 measured dates
↑ Rose 22↓ Fell 30— Unchanged 3
Median daily change
−1 bp
Range −16 bp to +10 bp
These counts include every statement type, not just rate cuts. They are historical observations, not probabilities of a future move. Treasury changed its curve method on 6 December 2021; pooled results span both methods.
Search seeded demonstration events, then inspect the source, reaction, mechanism, alternatives, and limits behind each match. These records are not official Treasury observations.
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Evidence constellation
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DemonstrationEconomic data Demo · Aug 30 · 08:30 ET · 2026
Inflation reading exceeds the demonstration consensus
Treasury yields rose and growth shares weakened as the fictional release shifted expected interest-rate timing.
Compare the yield curve and real-rate context from Treasury observations. This is a measured relationship, not proof of causation or a trading signal.
Research instrument / 01
Sourced · U.S. Treasury60 matched daily observationsObserved through Retrieved
Sourced · 10y nominal
5.24%
Sourced · 10y TIPS real
2.91%
Calculated · 10y–2y slope
+0.44 pp
Calculated · nominal–real gap
+2.33 pp
Latest 60 matched observations from annual archives, up to 60 dates. Weekends, holidays and missing tenors are not filled in.
Nominal 10yTIPS real 10yBoth yields · %
Scroll the chart to inspect dates; exact values are in the table below.
Inspect all paired observations and calculations
Official Treasury daily yields and MarketAxisIX calculated differences. Percent and percentage-point units are not interchangeable.
Date
2y nominal %
10y nominal %
10y real %
10y–2y pp
Nominal–real pp
2026-07-17
4.18
4.55
2.31
0.37
2.24
2026-07-20
4.21
4.60
2.35
0.39
2.25
2026-07-21
4.26
4.63
2.37
0.37
2.26
2026-07-22
4.31
4.67
2.39
0.36
2.28
2026-07-23
4.37
4.71
2.43
0.34
2.28
2026-07-24
4.33
4.69
2.43
0.36
2.26
2026-07-27
4.31
4.65
2.44
0.34
2.21
2026-07-28
4.26
4.61
2.41
0.35
2.20
2026-07-29
4.22
4.67
2.41
0.45
2.26
2026-07-30
4.23
4.68
2.41
0.45
2.27
2026-07-31
4.28
4.75
2.47
0.47
2.28
2026-08-03
4.25
4.70
2.43
0.45
2.27
2026-08-04
4.20
4.63
2.40
0.43
2.23
2026-08-05
4.18
4.63
2.41
0.45
2.22
2026-08-06
4.25
4.69
2.43
0.44
2.26
2026-08-07
4.19
4.65
2.40
0.46
2.25
2026-08-10
4.25
4.72
2.43
0.47
2.29
Same-day pairing only; no forward fill. The nominal–real gap is not a pure inflation-expectation estimate. The feeds do not provide intraday availability times or an immutable historical vintage.